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Analysis: What happens to Mike Pence now?

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After all, Pence has been fulfilling that function an increasing number of within the closing weeks of Donald Trump’s presidency, because the forty fifth president has retreated an increasing number of into his personal conspiracy-theory cocoon.

In reality, will probably be Pence, not Trump, on the dais on the West Front of the US Capitol on Wednesday as Joe Biden is sworn in because the forty sixth president of the United States. 

It’s uniquely attainable that these previous couple of weeks would be the greatest it will get for Pence. That his function because the type of de facto president after the actual one determined he was not within the job would be the acme of a political profession that when appeared to have a lot promise.

Pence staked his political future on Trump when he agreed to be the billionaire businessman’s second-in-command in 2016. Pence was going through a surprisingly critical reelection problem — though he was nonetheless favored to win — however noticed a shortcut to the highest of the Republican pile if Trump occurred to win.

And Pence spent virtually the whole thing of Trump’s time period making an attempt to make good on his gamble — defending the President at each flip (and oftentimes towards his personal previous ethical convictions) so as to be on the entrance of the road to inherit the Trump coalition in 2024 or 2028.

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Then that each one ended — in a flash — when Pence refused to bend the Constitution to its breaking level (as Trump needed) so as to in some way invalidate the outcomes of the 2020 election.

“Mike Pence didn’t have the courage to do what should have been done to protect our Country and our Constitution, giving States a chance to certify a corrected set of facts, not the fraudulent or inaccurate ones which they were asked to previously certify,” Trump tweeted amid the January 6 assault on the US Capitol. (Some of the rioters have been heard chanting “Hang Mike Pence!“)
“The whole Pence team is still very much shaken up by the attempts on his life just two weeks ago, and seems like they are more head-down, focused-on-the-day-job than ever (long one of his tactics for surviving last four years), so future talks kind of froze up after January 6,” defined Tom LoBianco, who wrote “Piety & Power: Mike Pence and the Taking of the White House.”

LoBianco provides that the Pences stay undecided on whether or not to keep in DC or transfer again to Indiana within the coming months: “I was hearing Indiana, but have been hearing more now that they stick around DC,” he stated.

That uncertainty in the place they stay is reflective of the broader lack of readability surrounding Pence’s future.

Politically talking, Pence is a person and not using a nation. He is FAR too Trump-y for these inside the GOP who desire a clear break from the soon-to-be-former president. And he’s not Trump-y sufficient for the diehard adherents of the forty fifth president.

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That no-man’s land is a really powerful place to be politically because the Republican Party begins to flip — and that is already occurring — to the struggle for its future (and the 2024 nomination).

The Point: Pence’s massive gamble failed. Because he wager on a man in Trump who views loyalty as a one-way street (amongst different character flaws). Pence is now, virtually definitely, completed in nationwide politics — one other sufferer of Trump’s political poison.

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