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May Bank: Mamata Banerjee PK strategy bran bran? BJP on single..today in triple digit places today?

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oi-Mathivanan Maran


Published: Tuesday, January 19, 2021, 6:43 [IST]

Kolkata: Mamata Banerjee’s Trinamool Congress party has been rocked by the ABP-Svoter survey on the West Bengal assembly election results, which the BJP has said is likely to retain power.

Elections are to be held soon for a total of 294 assembly constituencies in West Bengal. The majority in this state needs 148 seats.

In West Bengal, there is a three-way contest between the ruling Trinamool Congress, the ruling BJP in the middle and the Congress-Left. In the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, the party was able to win a landslide victory as Congress-left voters voted for the BJP. Then the Congress and the Left competed separately.

Mamata to retain power

Mamata to retain power

In this case, the results of the APP-Chowder survey have been released. It has been said that Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee’s Trinamool Congress party will win 158 seats and retain power. But this is a major setback for the Trinamool Congress compared to the 2011 assembly elections. According to the poll, the Trinamool Congress, which won 211 seats in the 2016 elections, will lose 53 seats this time.

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Triple Digit

Triple Digit

According to the polls, the BJP is likely to win 102 seats. The BJP, which won just 3 seats in the 2016 elections, is now moving towards triple digit seats, which will be considered a huge victory. But political observers point out that the BJP will get only 102 seats amid a relentless siege campaign by Union Minister Amit Shah.

Is the PK prediction false?

Is the PK prediction false?

In this election, Trinamool Congress leader Mamata Banerjee had fielded Prashant Kishore for electoral strategy. In May, PK had challenged the BJP to categorically say that it could not cross double digit seats for sure. But the polls are likely to shatter PK’s arrogance.

Transformed Cong.  Left-wing votes

Transformed Cong. Left-wing votes

The C-Voter Survey says the Congress-Left coalition can win only 30 seats. The Left, which has been able to form an alliance with the Congress Party, will certainly not be able to form an alliance with its arch-enemy, the Trinamool Congress. This will not prevent the votes of non-BJP parties from scattering for sure. Another is that in West Bengal, left-wing, Congress voters have once again chanted slogans like Zinta Baat as Bharat Mataki J. Thus, the results of this survey suggest that the Congress-Left can win only in a small number of places.

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