Eminent virologist Dr. Shahid Jameel said that India has seen a decrease in the number of daily reported cases which were at the top level in September.
25 thousand cases are coming up every day
He said, “At present, about 25 thousand cases are being reported every day, whereas in mid-September, more than 93 thousand cases were coming up every day. However, like the end of November, there may be an increase in new cases for a short time. “I don’t think a second wave will come because of the festive season (Dussehra to Diwali) and the election of a state without Any increase has been completed. What is the reason of this? According to another national seroserve, the probable cases are 16 times the confirmed cases. According to this, there will be 16 crore cases in India now.
Unsafe and susceptible people will be infected
Jamil said that it is possible that more than 30 to 40 crore infection cases have occurred in the country so far. He said, “Insecure and susceptible people will continue to get infected. If immunity lasts for a year or less, then we may see small increase in cases of infection at regular intervals during the next few years. Good vaccine will control it effectively.
When asked about the possible second wave of Kovid-19, renowned clinical scientist Dr. Gagandeep Kang said that the infection will not be as fast as the first time and the incidence of infection will not be as high.
He said, “I don’t think ‘exposure’ is enough to say that we have collective immunity and never have to worry about it again, but I think it should be enough to make sure we have There should be some level of protection so that the spread of infection is not like it was seen for the first time. In cases of infection, the increase will not be that much.
30-40 percent of people not infected with Kovid
Kang said, “The problem has not gone away, it will not go away with collective immunity, but I don’t think we will see the second wave as seen in the West.” Eminent cardiologist Dr. KK Aggarwal Said that there is still 30-40 percent population in India which is not infected with Kovid-19. He said that India, Argentina and Poland are among the 15 countries with the highest Kovid-19 cases where the second wave has not been seen.
If there is no strain, there will be no second wave
He said, “By all probability, there will not be a second wave in India and if the second wave comes, it will only come because of 501 new types.” Agarwal said, “If you don’t have that strain” If there is no second wave. If India starts a vaccination program by the end of this month and vaccinates around 300 million people, we may be able to control the disease by 25 March. ”
Dr. Samiran Panda, Head of Epidemiology and Communicable Diseases at the Indian Council of Medical Research, said that the epidemic situation has declined in some states, while there have been ups and downs in others. Panda said, “In more states, we have seen effective control while in some states we need to be cautious. The landscape of the state is different from each other.